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What is Polymarket?
Polymarket is your opportunity to profit from the things you know best.
Polymarket is the worldâs largest prediction market.
Bet on the outcome of future events in a wide range of topics, like sports, politics, and pop culture. Get accurate real-time probabilities of the events that matter most to you.
What do the prices mean?
Prices (odds) represent the current probability of an event taking place.
For example: In a market on whether Donald Trump will win the 2024 Republican Nomination, if âYesâ shares are trading at 72c, that means there is a 72% chance that Donald Trump will win.
How do I make money?
In the above example, if a trader believes the true odds of Trump winning the Republican nomination are greater than 72%, they would buy âYesâ shares for 72c each.
If theyâre right, meaning Trump wins the nomination, each âYesâ share would be worth $1. Thatâs a 28c profit per share. Conversely, any trader who owned âNoâ shares would see their investment become worthless.
But youâre not locked into your trade: you can sell your shares at any time at the current market odds.
Your job is to find markets where you disagree with the current odds, and profit by betting on your beliefs.
How accurate are the odds?
Research has shown prediction markets to be considerably more accurate, on average, than polls and pundits.
Traders combine all available information: news, polls, and expert opinions, and make informed trades based on that combined knowledge. Their economic incentive ensures that as more savvy traders participate, the marketâs price (probability) will change to more accurately reflect the true current odds.
Thatâs why prediction markets are the best source of real-time event probabilities. People around the world use Polymarket to get the most accurate odds of the events they care about, thereby gaining the ability to make informed decisions about the future.
If youâre an expert on a certain topic, Polymarket is your opportunity to profit from trading based on your knowledge, while improving the marketâs accuracy.
Polymarket is the future of news.
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